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Implied probabilities from Polymarket prediction markets. Order-book prices carry no vig; the price is the probability. Updates automatically as the market moves. Last updated 08/28/26
Today at a glance
Biggest book gapLos Angeles Chargers to win-8.5 ptsPolymarket-14158.5%59¢Book-20367.0%67¢
Tightest marketLas Vegas Raiders to win1¢ spread$1.3M
Biggest moveLas Vegas Raiders to win-58.0 ptsnow+39002.5%
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MatchupMarketBest Pricelast tradelast tradelast tradelast tradelast tradede-vig · Pinnacle-anchored
SF
LV
Thu 8:00 PMLive
NFL
Las Vegas Raidersto win
$1.3M+39002.5%+39002.5%+52516.0%16¢+17185.5%--+27027.0%27¢---58.0
SF
LV
Thu 8:00 PMLive
NFL
San Francisco 49ersto win
$1.3M-32576.5%76¢-390097.5%98¢-66987.0%87¢-1990099.5%100¢---32576.5%76¢--+58.0
LAR
LAC
Thu 10:00 PMLive
NFL
Los Angeles Chargersto win
$590k-12255.0%55¢-14158.5%59¢-14459.0%59¢-12255.0%55¢---12355.2%55¢-8.5--
LAR
LAC
Thu 10:00 PMLive
NFL
Los Angeles Ramsto win
$590k+14141.5%41¢+14141.5%41¢+13342.9%43¢-11753.9%54¢---12956.3%56¢+8.5--
SEA
KC
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Kansas City Chiefsto win
$8k-10050.0%50¢-10050.0%50¢-10451.0%51¢-10651.5%51¢---10451.0%51¢+0.2--
SEA
KC
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Seattle Seahawksto win
$8k-10050.0%50¢-10050.0%50¢-10050.0%50¢-10250.5%50¢---10150.2%50¢-0.2--
ARI
GB
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Arizona Cardinalsto win
$2k+10449.0%49¢+10249.5%50¢+10449.0%49¢+10249.5%50¢--+10349.3%49¢-0.5--
ARI
GB
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Green Bay Packersto win
$2k-10250.5%50¢-10250.5%50¢-10851.9%52¢-10851.9%52¢---10651.5%51¢+0.5--
NO
DAL
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Dallas Cowboysto win
$2k-13557.4%57¢-13557.4%57¢-14459.0%59¢-13858.0%58¢---13657.6%58¢+1.1--
NO
DAL
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
New Orleans Saintsto win
$2k+13842.0%42¢+13542.6%43¢+13842.0%42¢+13542.6%43¢--+13442.7%43¢-1.2--
ATL
MIA
Fri 7:00 PM
NFL
Atlanta Falconsto win
$891-17463.5%64¢-18264.5%65¢-18665.0%65¢-17463.5%64¢---18665.0%65¢+0.9--
ATL
MIA
Fri 7:00 PM
NFL
Miami Dolphinsto win
$891+18635.0%35¢+18235.5%35¢+18635.0%35¢+17037.0%37¢--+17436.5%36¢-0.9--
WAS
BAL
Fri 6:00 PM
NFL
Baltimore Ravensto win
$654-14459.0%59¢-14759.5%60¢-14459.0%59¢-15060.0%60¢---14859.7%60¢+1.5--
WAS
BAL
Fri 6:00 PM
NFL
Washington Commandersto win
$654+14740.5%40¢+14740.5%40¢+14441.0%41¢+13842.0%42¢--+14041.7%42¢-1.5--
MIN
DEN
Fri 9:00 PM
NFL
DEN Broncosto win
$546-17063.0%63¢-17463.5%64¢-17063.0%63¢-17864.0%64¢---17263.2%63¢-0.7--
MIN
DEN
Fri 9:00 PM
NFL
MIN Vikingsto win
$546+17436.5%36¢+17436.5%36¢+17037.0%37¢+16737.5%37¢--+16837.3%37¢+0.7--
NE
SEA
Wed 8:20 PM
NFL
New England Patriotsto win
$395+17037.0%37¢+16737.5%37¢+16338.0%38¢+17037.0%37¢+15539.2%39¢+15838.8%39¢+0.0--
NE
SEA
Wed 8:20 PM
NFL
Seattle Seahawksto win
$395-16362.0%62¢-16762.5%63¢-16362.0%62¢-17463.5%64¢-19265.8%66¢-17663.8%64¢-0.0--
DET
IND
Sat 1:00 PM
NFL
Detroit Lionsto win
$342+17037.0%37¢+17037.0%37¢+16338.0%38¢+16038.5%38¢--+16238.2%38¢+0.5--
DET
IND
Sat 1:00 PM
NFL
Indianapolis Coltsto win
$342-16362.0%62¢-17063.0%63¢-16362.0%62¢-19966.6%67¢---17864.0%64¢-0.5--
CHI
TEN
Sat 6:00 PM
NFL
Chicago Bearsto win
$122+14141.5%41¢+14141.5%41¢+13842.0%42¢+13043.5%43¢--+13243.1%43¢-0.1--
CHI
TEN
Sat 6:00 PM
NFL
Tennessee Titansto win
$122-13858.0%58¢-14158.5%59¢-13858.0%58¢-14158.5%59¢---14859.7%60¢+0.1--
HOU
CAR
Fri 7:00 PM
NFL
Carolina Panthersto win
$105+10249.5%50¢+10249.5%50¢-10050.0%50¢+10050.0%50¢---10150.2%50¢-0.9--
HOU
CAR
Fri 7:00 PM
NFL
Houston Texansto win
$105-10250.5%50¢-10250.5%50¢-10851.9%52¢-10451.0%51¢---10350.7%51¢+0.9--
CIN
PHI
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Cincinnati Bengalsto win
$36+13542.6%43¢+13542.6%43¢+13342.9%43¢+13342.9%43¢--+13243.1%43¢-0.1--
CIN
PHI
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Philadelphia Eaglesto win
$36-13557.4%57¢-13557.4%57¢-13858.0%58¢-13858.0%58¢---14058.3%58¢+0.1--
TB
JAX
Fri 7:30 PM
NFL
Jacksonville Jaguarsto win
$30+14441.0%41¢+14141.5%41¢+14441.0%41¢+13842.0%42¢--+13842.0%42¢+0.3--
TB
JAX
Fri 7:30 PM
NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneersto win
$30-14158.5%59¢-14158.5%59¢-15060.0%60¢-15060.0%60¢---14859.7%60¢-0.3--
NYG
NYJ
Fri 7:30 PM
NFL
New York Giantsto win
$28-14759.5%60¢-14759.5%60¢-15060.0%60¢-15660.9%61¢---15460.6%61¢-0.2--
NYG
NYJ
Fri 7:30 PM
NFL
New York Jetsto win
$28+15239.7%40¢+14740.5%40¢+15040.0%40¢+14740.5%40¢--+15239.7%40¢+0.2--
Showing 30 markets · sorted by volume, highest firstBest price per side highlighted · de-vigged comparison on this view
The exchange

About Polymarket

What Polymarket is

A peer-to-peer prediction market, not a sportsbook. Every market is a YES/NO contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price is a probability: 15¢ means the market puts a 15% chance on that outcome.

Order-book pricing vs bookmaker vig

A sportsbook builds margin into both sides of a line. On an order book the price is the last trade between two traders, with no vig. The honest cost is the bid-ask spread, which is why thin markets are flagged here.

Fees

No per-trade fee on standard markets. The real cost of entering and exiting is the spread, so tight markets are cheap to trade and thin ones are not. Contracts settle in USDC.

Regulatory status

US access runs through a CFTC-regulated exchange following Polymarket's 2025 acquisition of a licensed venue. Availability varies by state. It is an exchange, not a book: you trade against other users, not the house.

What the numbers mean

Volume is dollars traded in a market. Where a venue counts contracts rather than dollars, the figure is converted at that market's own price so the column compares like with like; hover it for the raw count. The 24h column is the change in probability over the last day, in percentage points, measured against each venue's own price a day earlier; a market with no price that old shows no move rather than a flat one. Boards are volume-sorted so the marquee markets lead.