PredictionMarkets+ | Crypto Prediction Markets & Live Odds

Live
OddsBoard+ →
Implied probabilities from Polymarket prediction markets. Order-book prices carry no vig; the price is the probability. Updates automatically as the market moves. Last updated 10/15/26
Today at a glance
Biggest 24h moveBitcoin above ___ on October 15? · 82,000-52.0 ptsnow+34422.5%23¢
Most volumeWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 10,000$912k+221220.5%0¢
Tightest marketWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 10,0000¢ spread+221220.5%0¢
Polymarket
Odds
Polymarket: Live
Feed freshnessAll fresh
Polymarket
stale = no write in 15+ minrefreshed every sync

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
Monthly series
↑ 90,000-11553.5%54¢-9.5
↓ 70,000+13542.5%43¢+5.5
↑ 95,000+19933.5%34¢-9.0
↓ 65,000+31724.0%24¢+1.5
↑ 100,000+33523.0%23¢--
↓ 60,000+50616.5%17¢+2.0
↑ 110,000+85210.5%11¢--
↓ 55,000+90010.0%10¢--
↓ 50,000+12337.5%8¢--
↑ 120,000+14386.5%7¢--
↓ 45,000+18615.1%5¢--
↑ 130,000+26783.6%4¢--
↓ 40,000+27573.5%4¢+0.4
↑ 140,000+31793.1%3¢--
↑ 150,000+36742.7%3¢--
↓ 35,000+41552.4%2¢--
↑ 160,000+46622.1%2¢--
↓ 30,000+63521.6%2¢--
↑ 180,000+67971.5%1¢--
↑ 170,000+70431.4%1¢--
↓ 20,000+94241.1%1¢--
↑ 200,000+104261.0%1¢--
↓ 25,000+116650.9%1¢--
↑ 190,000+132330.8%1¢--
↓ 15,000+152850.7%1¢--
↑ 250,000+221220.5%0¢--
↓ 10,000+221220.5%0¢--
↓ 5,000+221220.5%0¢--
↑ 500,000+332330.3%0¢+0.1
↑ 1,000,000+665670.2%0¢--

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

Price target · Closes Nov 1
Monthly series
↓ 80,000-50683.5%84¢+24.0
↑ 82,500-38879.5%80¢--
↓ 77,500-10651.5%52¢+17.0
↑ 85,000-10250.5%51¢-25.5
↓ 75,000+21731.5%32¢+10.0
Show 15 more
↑ 87,500+25128.5%28¢-20.0
↑ 90,000+44118.5%19¢-12.5
↓ 72,500+44118.5%19¢+6.0
↓ 70,000+85210.5%11¢+4.0
↑ 92,500+9539.5%10¢-7.0
↑ 95,000+17185.5%6¢-3.5
↓ 67,500+17355.5%5¢+1.5
↓ 65,000+29773.3%3¢+0.6
↑ 97,500+35362.8%3¢-1.4
↓ 62,500+50282.0%2¢+0.5
↑ 100,000+56141.8%2¢-0.3
↓ 60,000+63521.6%2¢+0.4
↑ 102,500+85961.2%1¢-0.4
↑ 105,000+116650.9%1¢-0.3
↑ 150,000+1999000.1%0¢--

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$5.3M
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?+32902.9%3¢+0.1

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2028
$2.9M · 9 outcomes
by December 31, 2027THIN+14740.5%41¢+17.0
by September 30, 2027+42619.0%19¢+3.0
by June 30, 2027+66913.0%13¢-1.0
by March 31, 2027+15676.0%6¢-2.5
by December 31, 2026+34712.8%3¢--

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$1.8M · 4 outcomes
December 31, 2026+22264.3%4¢--

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$945k · 3 outcomes
S&P 500-21768.5%69¢--
Bitcoin+50616.5%17¢--
Gold+10768.5%9¢--

Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?

Price target · Closes Oct 15
Weekly series
72,000-199900100.0%100¢+0.2
74,000-6656799.9%100¢+0.5
76,000-1240099.2%99¢-0.2
78,000-329097.1%97¢-1.3
80,000-48382.9%83¢-11.6
Show 6 more
82,000+34422.5%23¢-52.0
84,000+24004.0%4¢-29.5
86,000+284710.4%0¢-8.2
88,000+1999000.1%0¢-2.0
90,000+1999000.1%0¢-0.6
92,000+1999000.1%0¢-0.1

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

Price target · Closes Oct 19
Weekly series
↓ 80,000-22869.5%70¢+39.5
↑ 84,000+24529.0%29¢--
↓ 78,000+28526.0%26¢+14.5
↓ 76,000+9369.7%10¢+5.2
↑ 86,000+10119.0%9¢-27.0
Show 9 more
↓ 74,000+32902.9%3¢+1.0
↑ 88,000+38222.6%3¢-10.5
↓ 72,000+73071.4%1¢+0.3
↑ 90,000+85961.2%1¢-3.4
↓ 70,000+110110.9%1¢-0.1
↑ 92,000+116650.9%1¢-1.3
↑ 96,000+221220.5%0¢--
↑ 98,000+399000.3%0¢--
↑ 94,000+665670.2%0¢-0.8

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$476k
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?+14441.0%41¢-0.5

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 14?

Price target · Closes Oct 15
Resolved
↑ 91,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↑ 90,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↑ 89,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↑ 88,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↑ 87,000+1999000.1%0¢--
Show 7 more
↑ 86,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↑ 85,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↓ 80,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↓ 79,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↓ 78,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↓ 77,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↓ 76,000+1999000.1%0¢--

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$336k
1M++27573.5%4¢--

Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?

Price target · Closes Oct 16
Weekly series
72,000-1808299.5%99¢+0.4
74,000-942499.0%99¢-0.1
76,000-353697.3%97¢-1.5
78,000-112091.8%92¢-4.6
80,000-25171.5%72¢-17.0
Show 6 more
82,000+19034.5%35¢-35.0
84,000+10768.5%9¢-29.0
86,000+49002.0%2¢-10.0
88,000+110110.9%1¢-2.6
90,000+665670.2%0¢-1.0
92,000+665670.2%0¢-0.8

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$204k
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?-19065.5%66¢-2.0

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$198k
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?+57821.7%2¢--

Bitcoin best month in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$144k · 12 outcomes
August-47882.7%83¢-0.1
December+13297.0%7¢--
November+21474.5%4¢-0.1
October+33482.9%3¢+0.3

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$138k · 3 outcomes
December 31, 2026THIN+41219.6%20¢--

Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?

Price target · Closes Oct 17
Weekly series
74,000-759298.7%99¢-0.5
76,000-256796.3%96¢-1.9
78,000-98190.8%91¢-5.4
80,000-23970.5%71¢-19.0
82,000+17836.0%36¢-33.5
Show 6 more
84,000+85210.5%11¢-28.0
86,000+30253.2%3¢-11.3
88,000+94241.1%1¢-3.5
92,000+152850.7%1¢-0.6
94,000+165670.6%1¢+0.2
90,000+199000.5%1¢-2.2

When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2028
$88k · 6 outcomes
by December 31, 2027-19966.5%67¢-2.0
by September 30, 2027-17063.0%63¢-1.5
by June 30, 2027THIN-11553.5%54¢-5.5
by March 31, 2027+12245.0%45¢-1.5
by December 31, 2026+29225.5%26¢-2.5

Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?

Price target · Closes Oct 18
Weekly series
74,000-561498.3%98¢-0.6
76,000-264096.4%96¢-1.5
78,000-81389.1%89¢-6.4
80,000-20867.5%68¢-20.0
82,000+17037.0%37¢-30.0
Show 6 more
84,000+66913.0%13¢-25.5
86,000+23694.1%4¢-12.0
88,000+89911.1%1¢-4.9
90,000+110110.9%1¢-3.1
92,000+152850.7%1¢-1.1
94,000+249000.4%0¢-1.0

Bitcoin price on October 15?

Price target · Closes Oct 15
Weekly series
80,000-82,000-13357.0%57¢+35.0
82,000-84,000+37621.0%21¢-19.0
78,000-80,000+58014.7%15¢+10.6
84,000-86,000+27573.5%4¢-22.0
76,000-78,000+38222.6%3¢+1.7
Show 6 more
74,000-76,000+152850.7%1¢+0.2
86,000-88,000+221220.5%0¢-6.0
72,000-74,000+399000.3%0¢-0.8
<72,000+1999000.1%0¢-0.4
88,000-90,000+1999000.1%0¢-1.4
>90,000+1999000.1%0¢-0.5

Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?

Price target · Closes Oct 19
Weekly series
72,000-1042699.1%99¢-0.4
74,000-312696.9%97¢-1.8
76,000-165494.3%94¢-2.9
78,000-52584.0%84¢-10.0
80,000-18264.5%65¢-20.0
Show 6 more
82,000+16338.0%38¢-28.0
84,000+48817.0%17¢-23.0
86,000+19005.0%5¢-14.5
88,000+46622.1%2¢-5.4
92,000+99001.0%1¢-0.5
90,000+104261.0%1¢-2.5

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

5m series
-1990099.5%100¢
Closes Aug 5

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?

Daily series
+20832.5%33¢
Closes Oct 15

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢-50.0
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 15

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 15

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 15

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

15m series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 15

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$31k
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?+12337.5%8¢+1.0

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 15

Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?

Price target · Closes Oct 20
Weekly series
74,000-275796.5%97¢-1.6
76,000-123392.5%93¢-3.8
78,000-52584.0%84¢-8.0
80,000-18264.5%65¢-17.5
82,000+15639.0%39¢-24.5
Show 6 more
84,000+45618.0%18¢-22.5
86,000+13297.0%7¢-14.5
88,000+33482.9%3¢-7.1
90,000+89911.1%1¢-3.6
92,000+221220.5%0¢-1.8
94,000+499000.2%0¢-1.0

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 15?

Price target · Closes Oct 16
Daily series
↑ 82,000-16362.0%62¢--
↓ 80,000+10449.0%49¢--
↑ 83,000+25128.5%28¢--
↓ 79,000+35522.0%22¢--
↑ 84,000+85210.5%11¢--
Show 10 more
↓ 78,000+10119.0%9¢--
↑ 85,000+25673.8%4¢--
↓ 77,000+25673.8%4¢--
↓ 76,000+50282.0%2¢--
↑ 86,000+73071.4%1¢--
↓ 75,000+141860.7%1¢--
↑ 87,000+199000.5%1¢--
↓ 74,000+221220.5%0¢--
↑ 88,000+332330.3%0¢--
↓ 73,000+332330.3%0¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2PM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

4h series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

15m series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 15

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7PM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 15

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢+50.0
Closes Oct 14

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

4h series
-45682.0%82¢
Closes Oct 15

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 15
Showing 1–50 of 204 eventsVolume-sorted · order-book prices, no vig

What Are Crypto Prediction Markets?

Crypto prediction markets price whether a token hits a target price, whether a regulatory filing gets approved, and when a network or product actually ships. These contracts move on exchange price action, on-chain activity and regulatory headlines rather than on a fixed game or election schedule.

The exchange

About Polymarket

What Polymarket is

A peer-to-peer prediction market, not a sportsbook. Every market is a YES/NO contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price is a probability: 15¢ means the market puts a 15% chance on that outcome.

Order-book pricing vs bookmaker vig

A sportsbook builds margin into both sides of a line. On an order book the price is the last trade between two traders, with no vig. The honest cost is the bid-ask spread, which is why thin markets are flagged here.

Fees

No per-trade fee on standard markets. The real cost of entering and exiting is the spread, so tight markets are cheap to trade and thin ones are not. Contracts settle in USDC.

Regulatory status

US access runs through a CFTC-regulated exchange following Polymarket's 2025 acquisition of a licensed venue. Availability varies by state. It is an exchange, not a book: you trade against other users, not the house.

What the numbers mean

Volume is dollars traded in a market. Where a venue counts contracts rather than dollars, the figure is converted at that market's own price so the column compares like with like; hover it for the raw count. The 24h column is the change in probability over the last day, in percentage points, measured against each venue's own price a day earlier; a market with no price that old shows no move rather than a flat one. Boards are volume-sorted so the marquee markets lead.

Connect your AI to statrankings+ClaudeChatGPTGrok
Already subscribed? Just sign in.