Today at a glance
Biggest 24h moveBitcoin above ___ on August 28? · 78,000+18.5 ptsnow-66687.0%87¢
Most volumeBitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 · S&P 500$192k-11553.5%54¢
Tightest marketWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August? · ↑ 82,5000¢ spread+13043.4%43¢
PolymarketOdds
Polymarket: Live
Feed freshnessAll fresh
Polymarketstale = no write in 15+ minrefreshed every sync
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↓ 75,000-34477.5%78¢-8.0
↑ 85,000-30875.5%76¢+8.5
↓ 70,000-15060.0%60¢-5.5
↑ 90,000-13056.5%56¢+8.5
↑ 95,000+14141.5%42¢+7.5
↓ 65,000+16338.0%38¢-5.5
↑ 100,000+22830.5%31¢+5.5
↓ 60,000+27726.5%27¢-2.0
↓ 55,000+38820.5%21¢-2.5
↑ 110,000+44118.5%19¢--
↓ 50,000+64113.5%14¢-1.5
↑ 120,000+70012.5%13¢--
↓ 45,000+9539.5%10¢--
↑ 130,000+12617.4%7¢+0.8
↓ 40,000+14386.5%7¢-1.0
↓ 35,000+17185.5%6¢--
↑ 140,000+19205.0%5¢+0.1
↓ 30,000+22814.2%4¢+0.1
↑ 150,000+28413.4%3¢-0.1
↑ 160,000+30253.2%3¢+0.1
↓ 25,000+47782.1%2¢-0.1
↑ 180,000+49002.0%2¢-0.1
↓ 15,000+53051.9%2¢--
↑ 170,000+53051.9%2¢-0.5
↓ 10,000+57821.7%2¢--
↑ 250,000+59611.7%2¢+0.1
↑ 200,000+59611.7%2¢-0.2
↑ 190,000+59611.7%2¢-0.2
↓ 20,000+63521.6%2¢+0.1
↑ 500,000+79001.3%1¢--
↓ 5,000+82331.2%1¢-0.2
↑ 1,000,000+132330.8%1¢+0.1
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
↓ 77,500-10050.0%50¢-16.5
↑ 82,500+13043.4%43¢+8.5
↑ 85,000+45718.0%18¢+4.7
↓ 75,000+54515.5%16¢-10.0
↑ 87,500+12257.6%8¢+2.7
Show 18 more
↓ 72,500+21734.4%4¢-3.1
↑ 90,000+23694.1%4¢+0.6
↓ 70,000+42482.3%2¢-2.2
↑ 92,500+44452.2%2¢+0.1
↓ 67,500+85961.2%1¢-0.9
↓ 65,000+152850.7%1¢-0.6
↑ 95,000+249000.4%0¢--
↑ 100,000+284710.4%0¢-0.2
↓ 62,500+332330.3%0¢-0.4
↓ 60,000+665670.2%0¢-0.3
↓ 55,000+665670.2%0¢-0.1
↓ 40,000+665670.2%0¢--
↓ 57,500+1999000.1%0¢-0.2
↓ 52,500+1999000.1%0¢-0.1
↓ 50,000+1999000.1%0¢-0.1
↓ 47,500+1999000.1%0¢-0.1
↓ 45,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↓ 42,500+1999000.1%0¢-0.1
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?+20514.7%5¢--
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026+89510.1%10¢-1.6
September 30, 2026+75921.3%1¢-1.0
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by September 30, 2027+34422.5%23¢-4.0
by June 30, 2027+48817.0%17¢+1.5
by December 31, 2027THIN+54515.5%16¢-14.0
by March 31, 2027+80911.0%11¢--
by December 31, 2026+30253.2%3¢+0.3
Bitcoin above ___ on August 28?
68,000-199900100.0%100¢+0.1
70,000-199900100.0%100¢+0.4
72,000-6656799.9%100¢+0.6
74,000-2847199.7%100¢+1.2
76,000-455197.9%98¢+5.4
Show 6 more
78,000-66687.0%87¢+18.5
80,000+12045.5%46¢+13.0
82,000+70012.5%13¢+3.0
84,000+34712.8%3¢+0.7
86,000+180820.5%1¢-0.5
88,000+1999000.1%0¢-0.8
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
S&P 500-11553.5%54¢--
Gold+22830.5%31¢-1.0
Bitcoin+47117.5%18¢--
What price will Bitcoin hit August 24-30?
↓ 78,000+10249.5%49¢--
↑ 82,000+12744.0%44¢+9.5
↑ 84,000+44118.5%19¢+3.0
↓ 76,000+47117.5%18¢--
↑ 86,000+13716.8%7¢+0.5
Show 10 more
↓ 74,000+18615.1%5¢-5.9
↑ 88,000+35362.8%3¢-0.8
↑ 90,000+36742.7%3¢+0.9
↓ 72,000+46622.1%2¢-2.4
↓ 70,000+50282.0%2¢+0.2
↓ 68,000+89911.1%1¢--
↑ 92,000+94241.1%1¢--
↓ 66,000+152850.7%1¢-0.3
↓ 64,000+199000.5%1¢-0.1
↓ 62,000+284710.4%0¢--
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?+30025.0%25¢-0.5
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
1M++9539.5%10¢--
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?+41552.4%2¢--
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 27?
↓ 78,000+34712.8%3¢--
↓ 77,000+180820.5%1¢--
↑ 82,000+199000.5%1¢--
↑ 83,000+221220.5%0¢--
↓ 76,000+221220.5%0¢--
Show 8 more
↓ 74,000+221220.5%0¢--
↓ 72,000+221220.5%0¢--
↓ 75,000+399000.3%0¢--
↑ 84,000+665670.2%0¢--
↓ 73,000+665670.2%0¢--
↑ 86,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↑ 85,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↓ 71,000+1999000.1%0¢--
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?-38879.5%80¢-1.0
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
August-34377.5%77¢--
December+11508.0%8¢-1.0
October+13297.0%7¢+2.0
September+21224.5%5¢-0.1
November+22534.3%4¢-0.5
Show 1 more
April+57821.7%2¢-0.4
Bitcoin above ___ on August 29?
66,000-6656799.9%100¢+0.2
68,000-4990099.8%100¢+0.4
70,000-3990099.8%100¢+0.3
72,000-1808299.5%99¢+0.7
74,000-790098.8%99¢+1.9
Show 7 more
76,000-253296.2%96¢+7.7
78,000-38879.5%80¢+14.0
80,000+11546.5%47¢+12.0
82,000+50616.5%17¢+3.0
84,000+20514.7%5¢-0.5
86,000+63521.6%2¢-0.6
88,000+221220.5%0¢-0.3
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
Daily series+48317.2%17¢-1.2
Bitcoin price on August 28?
78,000-80,000+14441.0%41¢+6.5
80,000-82,000+17836.0%36¢+13.5
82,000-84,000+90010.0%10¢+2.0
76,000-78,000+9269.8%10¢-14.2
84,000-86,000+43442.3%2¢+0.5
Show 6 more
74,000-76,000+65671.5%2¢-5.5
>86,000+152850.7%1¢-0.2
68,000-70,000+221220.5%0¢--
72,000-74,000+249000.4%0¢-1.2
70,000-72,000+999000.1%0¢-0.5
<68,000+1999000.1%0¢-0.4
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?
Daily series+15339.5%40¢-11.0
Bitcoin above ___ on August 30?
68,000-1990099.5%100¢--
70,000-1990099.5%100¢+0.2
72,000-1990099.5%100¢+1.0
74,000-790098.8%99¢+3.3
76,000-163994.3%94¢+8.8
Show 6 more
78,000-32676.5%77¢+13.0
80,000+10648.5%49¢+12.0
82,000+41319.5%20¢+3.0
84,000+12337.5%8¢+0.9
86,000+50282.0%2¢-0.3
88,000+152850.7%1¢-0.4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
5m series-1990099.5%100¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9PM ET
Hourly series+1999000.1%0¢
Bitcoin above ___ on August 31?
70,000-1808299.5%99¢--
72,000-1240099.2%99¢+2.0
74,000-347197.2%97¢+4.2
76,000-90090.0%90¢+7.5
78,000-28574.0%74¢+12.0
Show 6 more
80,000+11347.0%47¢+9.0
82,000+32623.5%24¢+4.0
84,000+9539.5%10¢+1.0
86,000+20284.7%5¢+2.0
88,000+46622.1%2¢+0.8
90,000+104261.0%1¢--
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?+10768.5%9¢--
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET
Hourly series-2212299.6%100¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
15m series-199900100.0%100¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8PM ET
Hourly series-199900100.0%100¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7PM ET
Hourly series+1999000.1%0¢-50.5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
15m series+1999000.1%0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Daily series-199900100.0%100¢+50.0
Bitcoin above ___ on September 1?
72,000-730798.7%99¢+2.1
70,000-704398.6%99¢+0.3
74,000-228195.8%96¢+4.8
76,000-70087.5%88¢+7.0
78,000-24571.0%71¢+10.0
Show 6 more
80,000+11147.5%48¢+8.5
82,000+28526.0%26¢+5.0
84,000+66913.0%13¢+2.5
86,000+14156.6%7¢+1.3
88,000+26403.7%4¢+0.8
90,000+44452.2%2¢+0.5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10PM ET
Hourly series+499000.2%0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Daily series+47117.5%18¢
When will Bitcoin hit $100k?
by December 31, 2027-44181.5%82¢-1.5
by September 30, 2027-16362.0%62¢--
by June 30, 2027-13357.0%57¢+1.0
by March 31, 2027+10249.5%50¢+2.0
by December 31, 2026+20333.0%33¢+2.5
Show 1 more
by September 30, 2026+81311.0%11¢+1.8
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
December 31, 2026THIN+13542.5%43¢+4.0
What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility index hit by August 31?
↑ 50THIN+10119.0%9¢-5.0
↑ 60+14386.5%7¢-0.5
↑ 55+15676.0%6¢--
↑ 70+27993.5%3¢--
↓ 35+61501.6%2¢-0.9
Show 2 more
↓ 25+152850.7%1¢-0.5
↓ 30+221220.5%0¢-0.1
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Annual series+37462.6%3¢
Bitcoin price on August 29?
80,000-82,000+20832.5%33¢+10.0
78,000-80,000+22331.0%31¢+1.0
76,000-78,000+56715.0%15¢-8.0
82,000-84,000+64113.5%14¢+5.0
84,000-86,000+24004.0%4¢+0.3
Show 6 more
74,000-76,000+31263.1%3¢-5.9
>86,000+67971.5%1¢-0.3
72,000-74,000+141860.7%1¢-1.7
70,000-72,000+199000.5%1¢-0.7
<68,000+332330.3%0¢-0.2
68,000-70,000+332330.3%0¢-0.2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
5m series-199900100.0%100¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
5m series-1990099.5%100¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
5m series-390097.5%98¢
Bitcoin above ___ on September 2?
68,000-730798.7%99¢+0.3
70,000-615098.4%98¢+0.8
72,000-347197.2%97¢+1.9
74,000-171894.5%95¢+5.5
76,000-61486.0%86¢+8.0
Show 6 more
78,000-23970.5%71¢+10.0
80,000+10648.5%49¢+9.0
82,000+25128.5%28¢+5.5
84,000+54515.5%16¢+3.0
86,000+10768.5%9¢+2.0
88,000+21474.5%4¢+0.9
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
5m series-199900100.0%100¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
15m series+1999000.1%0¢
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?+17875.3%5¢-0.4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
15m series-1990099.5%100¢
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 2027+10119.0%9¢--
December 31, 2026+51631.9%2¢+0.1
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?THIN+31824.0%24¢+0.3
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
15m series+41319.5%20¢
Bitcoin price on August 30?
78,000-80,000THIN+11347.0%47¢+19.5
80,000-82,000THIN+14141.5%42¢+20.5
84,000-86,000THIN+15239.7%40¢+35.2
82,000-84,000THIN+16038.5%39¢+28.0
>86,000THIN+19833.6%34¢+31.1
Show 6 more
76,000-78,000+70012.5%13¢-9.5
74,000-76,000+24973.9%4¢-7.2
72,000-74,000+57821.7%2¢-1.6
70,000-72,000+165670.6%1¢-1.4
68,000-70,000+180820.5%1¢--
<68,000+199000.5%1¢--
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
5m series+1999000.1%0¢
Showing 1–50 of 63 eventsVolume-sorted · order-book prices, no vig
The exchange
About Polymarket
What Polymarket is
A peer-to-peer prediction market, not a sportsbook. Every market is a YES/NO contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price is a probability: 15¢ means the market puts a 15% chance on that outcome.
Order-book pricing vs bookmaker vig
A sportsbook builds margin into both sides of a line. On an order book the price is the last trade between two traders, with no vig. The honest cost is the bid-ask spread, which is why thin markets are flagged here.
Fees
No per-trade fee on standard markets. The real cost of entering and exiting is the spread, so tight markets are cheap to trade and thin ones are not. Contracts settle in USDC.
Regulatory status
US access runs through a CFTC-regulated exchange following Polymarket's 2025 acquisition of a licensed venue. Availability varies by state. It is an exchange, not a book: you trade against other users, not the house.
What the numbers mean
Volume is dollars traded in a market. Where a venue counts contracts rather than dollars, the figure is converted at that market's own price so the column compares like with like; hover it for the raw count. The 24h column is the change in probability over the last day, in percentage points, measured against each venue's own price a day earlier; a market with no price that old shows no move rather than a flat one. Boards are volume-sorted so the marquee markets lead.