predictionmarkets+ Crypto Prediction Markets & Live Odds

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Implied probabilities from Polymarket prediction markets. Order-book prices carry no vig; the price is the probability. Updates automatically as the market moves. Last updated
Today at a glance
Biggest 24h moveBitcoin price on October 25? · 80,000-82,000+29.5 ptsnow-18665.0%65¢
Most volumeWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 10,000$913k+249000.4%0¢
Tightest marketWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 10,0000¢ spread+249000.4%0¢
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Odds
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Feed freshnessAll fresh
Polymarket
stale = no write in 15+ minrefreshed every sync

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
Monthly series
↑ 90,000-11553.5%54¢-3.0
↓ 70,000+19034.5%35¢--
↑ 95,000+19933.5%34¢-3.0
↓ 65,000+34422.5%23¢-0.5
↑ 100,000+41319.5%20¢--
↓ 60,000+59014.5%14¢+1.0
↓ 55,000+9539.5%10¢--
↑ 110,000+10768.5%9¢+1.0
↓ 50,000+12337.5%8¢--
↓ 45,000+19624.9%5¢--
↑ 120,000+21224.5%5¢--
↑ 130,000+30753.2%3¢--
↓ 40,000+31793.1%3¢+0.1
↑ 140,000+35362.8%3¢--
↑ 150,000+47782.1%2¢--
↑ 160,000+53051.9%2¢--
↓ 30,000+59611.7%2¢--
↓ 35,000+59611.7%2¢--
↑ 180,000+79001.3%1¢--
↓ 25,000+79001.3%1¢--
↓ 20,000+94241.1%1¢--
↑ 170,000+94241.1%1¢--
↑ 200,000+116650.9%1¢--
↑ 190,000+116650.9%1¢--
↓ 15,000+152850.7%1¢--
↑ 250,000+221220.5%0¢--
↓ 5,000+221220.5%0¢--
↓ 10,000+249000.4%0¢--
↑ 500,000+332330.3%0¢+0.1
↑ 1,000,000+665670.2%0¢--

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

Price target · Closes Nov 1
Monthly series
↑ 82,500-30875.5%76¢--
↓ 80,000-21768.5%69¢+2.0
↑ 85,000+16737.5%38¢-11.0
↓ 77,500+22830.5%31¢-3.0
↑ 87,500+59014.5%14¢-8.0
Show 15 more
↓ 75,000+70012.5%13¢-3.0
↑ 90,000+14386.5%7¢-3.0
↓ 72,500+17525.4%5¢-1.5
↑ 92,500+29773.3%3¢-1.2
↓ 70,000+32902.9%3¢-0.2
↓ 67,500+61501.6%2¢-0.2
↑ 95,000+63521.6%2¢-0.2
↑ 97,500+85961.2%1¢-0.1
↓ 65,000+94241.1%1¢+0.1
↑ 100,000+104261.0%1¢--
↑ 102,500+116650.9%1¢--
↑ 105,000+152850.7%1¢-0.1
↓ 62,500+152850.7%1¢-0.1
↓ 60,000+180820.5%1¢+0.2
↑ 150,000+1999000.1%0¢-0.1

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$5.3M
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?+31793.1%3¢--

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2028
$2.9M · 9 outcomes
by December 31, 2027+26427.5%28¢-0.5
by September 30, 2027+48817.0%17¢+0.5
by June 30, 2027+73312.0%12¢--
by March 31, 2027+15676.0%6¢-0.5
by December 31, 2026+40672.4%2¢-0.5

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$1.8M · 4 outcomes
December 31, 2026+20514.7%5¢--

Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?

Price target · Closes Oct 23
Resolved
72,000-199900100.0%100¢--
74,000-199900100.0%100¢--
76,000-199900100.0%100¢--
78,000-199900100.0%100¢--
80,000-199900100.0%100¢--
Show 6 more
82,000+1999000.1%0¢--
84,000+1999000.1%0¢--
86,000+1999000.1%0¢--
88,000+1999000.1%0¢--
90,000+1999000.1%0¢--
92,000+1999000.1%0¢--

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

Price target · Closes Oct 26
Weekly series
↑ 82,000-22869.5%70¢--
↓ 80,000+30824.5%25¢-18.0
↑ 84,000+12337.5%8¢--
↓ 78,000+22814.2%4¢--
↓ 76,000+51631.9%2¢--
Show 10 more
↑ 86,000+63521.6%2¢--
↓ 74,000+85961.2%1¢--
↓ 72,000+132330.8%1¢--
↑ 88,000+141860.7%1¢--
↓ 70,000+152850.7%1¢--
↑ 94,000+284710.4%0¢--
↑ 90,000+332330.3%0¢--
↑ 92,000+399000.3%0¢--
↓ 68,000+399000.3%0¢--
↑ 96,000+665670.2%0¢--

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$964k · 3 outcomes
S&P 500-27773.5%74¢--
Bitcoin+50616.5%17¢--
Gold+24004.0%4¢--

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$478k
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?+11746.0%46¢+5.5

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$346k
1M++31793.1%3¢-0.1

Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?

Price target · Closes Oct 24
Weekly series
72,000-199900100.0%100¢--
74,000-199900100.0%100¢--
76,000-2847199.7%100¢--
78,000-1528599.4%99¢--
80,000-502898.1%98¢--
Show 6 more
82,000+50616.5%17¢--
84,000+104261.0%1¢--
86,000+665670.2%0¢--
88,000+1999000.1%0¢--
90,000+1999000.1%0¢--
92,000+1999000.1%0¢--

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 23?

Price target · Closes Oct 24
Daily series
↓ 81,000+28526.0%26¢--
↓ 80,000+29303.3%3¢--
↓ 79,000+47782.1%2¢--
↑ 83,000+57821.7%2¢--
↓ 78,000+284710.4%0¢--
Show 10 more
↑ 87,000+332330.3%0¢--
↑ 88,000+499000.2%0¢--
↑ 84,000+499000.2%0¢--
↓ 76,000+499000.2%0¢--
↓ 74,000+499000.2%0¢--
↑ 85,000+665670.2%0¢--
↓ 77,000+665670.2%0¢--
↑ 89,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↑ 86,000+1999000.1%0¢--
↓ 75,000+1999000.1%0¢--

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$207k
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?-23370.0%70¢+5.5

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$198k
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?+57821.7%2¢--

Bitcoin best month in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$147k · 12 outcomes
August-73388.0%88¢-0.7
December+13297.0%7¢--
November+20984.6%5¢--
October+180820.5%1¢-1.1

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$138k · 3 outcomes
December 31, 2026THIN+48017.3%17¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?

Daily series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?

Price target · Closes Oct 25
Weekly series
72,000-6656799.9%100¢+0.7
74,000-3990099.8%100¢+0.6
76,000-1166599.2%99¢+0.9
78,000-679798.6%99¢+3.2
80,000-125192.6%93¢+10.5
Show 6 more
82,000+25128.5%28¢-19.0
84,000+61501.6%2¢-12.9
86,000+110110.9%1¢-2.3
88,000+399000.3%0¢-1.3
92,000+399000.3%0¢-0.3
90,000+499000.2%0¢-0.5

Bitcoin price on October 23?

Price target · Closes Oct 23
Resolved
80,000-82,000-199900100.0%100¢--
<72,000+1999000.1%0¢--
72,000-74,000+1999000.1%0¢--
74,000-76,000+1999000.1%0¢--
76,000-78,000+1999000.1%0¢--
Show 6 more
78,000-80,000+1999000.1%0¢--
82,000-84,000+1999000.1%0¢--
84,000-86,000+1999000.1%0¢--
86,000-88,000+1999000.1%0¢--
88,000-90,000+1999000.1%0¢--
>90,000+1999000.1%0¢--

When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2028
$93k · 6 outcomes
by December 31, 2027-28574.0%74¢+2.0
by September 30, 2027-17864.0%64¢-2.5
by June 30, 2027-11553.5%54¢-2.0
by March 31, 2027+13343.0%43¢-0.5
by December 31, 2026+36521.5%22¢-1.0

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

5m series
-1990099.5%100¢
Closes Aug 5

Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?

Price target · Closes Oct 26
Weekly series
72,000-2212299.6%100¢+0.4
74,000-1808299.5%99¢+0.4
76,000-656798.5%99¢+1.5
78,000-288596.7%97¢+3.6
80,000-44181.5%82¢+4.0
Show 6 more
82,000+16038.5%39¢-9.0
84,000+14386.5%7¢-13.0
86,000+79001.3%1¢-4.3
88,000+165670.6%1¢-0.7
90,000+221220.5%0¢-0.1
92,000+665670.2%0¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin price on October 24?

Price target · Closes Oct 24
Weekly series
80,000-82,000-44181.5%82¢--
82,000-84,000+52516.0%16¢--
78,000-80,000+67971.5%1¢--
84,000-86,000+141860.7%1¢--
76,000-78,000+221220.5%0¢--
Show 6 more
86,000-88,000+399000.3%0¢--
74,000-76,000+499000.2%0¢--
88,000-90,000+499000.2%0¢--
>90,000+499000.2%0¢--
72,000-74,000+999000.1%0¢--
<72,000+1999000.1%0¢--

Bitcoin above ___ on October 27?

Price target · Closes Oct 27
Weekly series
72,000-1808299.5%99¢--
74,000-1101199.1%99¢--
76,000-530598.2%98¢--
78,000-160994.2%94¢--
80,000-33577.0%77¢--
Show 6 more
82,000+14740.5%41¢--
84,000+80911.0%11¢--
86,000+38222.6%3¢--
88,000+124000.8%1¢--
90,000+165670.6%1¢--
92,000+165670.6%1¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$32k
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?+9539.5%10¢+1.5

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 22

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 22

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5PM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 22

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?

Daily series
+16038.5%39¢
Closes Oct 24

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8PM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

4h series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1PM ET

Hourly series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin price on October 25?

Price target · Closes Oct 25
Weekly series
80,000-82,000-18665.0%65¢+29.5
82,000-84,000+25728.0%28¢-4.0
78,000-80,000+15396.1%6¢-9.6
88,000-90,000+85961.2%1¢--
84,000-86,000+132330.8%1¢-11.2
Show 6 more
76,000-78,000+152850.7%1¢-2.5
74,000-76,000+165670.6%1¢-0.1
72,000-74,000+199000.5%1¢--
86,000-88,000+199000.5%1¢-1.7
>90,000+221220.5%0¢--
<72,000+249000.4%0¢-0.4

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$11k · 3 outcomes
December 31, 2026THIN+11546.5%47¢+4.0

Bitcoin above ___ on October 28?

Price target · Closes Oct 28
Weekly series
74,000-859698.9%99¢+1.8
76,000-267896.4%96¢+2.5
78,000-97590.7%91¢+4.3
80,000-26472.5%73¢+2.5
82,000+13842.0%42¢-4.5
Show 6 more
84,000+52516.0%16¢-9.0
86,000+19005.0%5¢-6.0
88,000+67971.5%1¢-2.6
90,000+110110.9%1¢-1.0
92,000+165670.6%1¢--
94,000+165670.6%1¢+0.1
Showing 1–50 of 85 eventsVolume-sorted · order-book prices, no vig

What Are Crypto Prediction Markets?

Crypto prediction markets price whether a token hits a target price, whether a regulatory filing gets approved, and when a network or product actually ships. These contracts move on exchange price action, on-chain activity and regulatory headlines rather than on a fixed game or election schedule.

The exchange

About Polymarket

What Polymarket is

A peer-to-peer prediction market, not a sportsbook. Every market is a YES/NO contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price is a probability: 15¢ means the market puts a 15% chance on that outcome.

Order-book pricing vs bookmaker vig

A sportsbook builds margin into both sides of a line. On an order book the price is the last trade between two traders, with no vig. The honest cost is the bid-ask spread, which is why thin markets are flagged here.

Fees

No per-trade fee on standard markets. The real cost of entering and exiting is the spread, so tight markets are cheap to trade and thin ones are not. Contracts settle in USDC.

Regulatory status

US access runs through a CFTC-regulated exchange following Polymarket's 2025 acquisition of a licensed venue. Availability varies by state. It is an exchange, not a book: you trade against other users, not the house.

What the numbers mean

Volume is dollars traded in a market. Where a venue counts contracts rather than dollars, the figure is converted at that market's own price so the column compares like with like; hover it for the raw count. The 24h column is the change in probability over the last day, in percentage points, measured against each venue's own price a day earlier; a market with no price that old shows no move rather than a flat one. Boards are volume-sorted so the marquee markets lead.

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