PredictionMarkets+ | Crypto

Live
Implied probabilities from Polymarket prediction markets. Order-book prices carry no vig; the price is the probability. Updates automatically as the market moves. Last updated 08/28/26
Today at a glance
Biggest 24h moveBitcoin above ___ on August 28? · 78,000+17.5 ptsnow-61786.1%86¢
Most volumeWill MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026? · 1M+$293k+9539.5%10¢
Tightest marketBitcoin above ___ on August 28? · 74,0000¢ spread-3323399.7%100¢
Polymarket
Odds
Polymarket: Live
Feed freshnessAll fresh
Polymarket
stale = no write in 15+ minrefreshed every sync

Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$3k
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?THIN+31824.0%24¢+0.3

Bitcoin price on August 30?

Price target · Closes Aug 30
Weekly series
78,000-80,000THIN+11347.0%47¢+19.5
84,000-86,000THIN+13842.0%42¢+37.5
>86,000THIN+14441.1%41¢+38.6
80,000-82,000THIN+15639.0%39¢+18.0
76,000-78,000+70012.5%13¢-9.5
Show 6 more
82,000-84,000THIN+77011.5%12¢+1.0
74,000-76,000+24973.9%4¢-7.2
72,000-74,000+59611.7%2¢-1.6
70,000-72,000+165670.6%1¢-1.4
68,000-70,000+180820.5%1¢--
<68,000+199000.5%1¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

5m series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Aug 28

Bitcoin above ___ on August 27, 10PM ET?

Price target · Closes Aug 28
Resolved
80,200-199900100.0%100¢--
80,000-199900100.0%100¢--
79,800-199900100.0%100¢--
79,600-199900100.0%100¢--
79,400-199900100.0%100¢--
Show 15 more
79,200-199900100.0%100¢--
79,000-199900100.0%100¢--
78,800-199900100.0%100¢--
78,600-199900100.0%100¢--
78,400-199900100.0%100¢--
82,400+1999000.1%0¢--
82,200+1999000.1%0¢--
82,000+1999000.1%0¢--
81,800+1999000.1%0¢--
81,600+1999000.1%0¢--
81,400+1999000.1%0¢--
81,200+1999000.1%0¢--
81,000+1999000.1%0¢--
80,800+1999000.1%0¢--
80,600+1999000.1%0¢--

Bitcoin above ___ on August 27, 11PM ET?

Price target · Closes Aug 28
Resolved
79,800-199900100.0%100¢--
79,600-199900100.0%100¢--
79,400-199900100.0%100¢--
79,200-199900100.0%100¢--
79,000-199900100.0%100¢--
Show 15 more
83,000+1999000.1%0¢--
82,800+1999000.1%0¢--
82,600+1999000.1%0¢--
82,400+1999000.1%0¢--
82,200+1999000.1%0¢--
82,000+1999000.1%0¢--
81,800+1999000.1%0¢--
81,600+1999000.1%0¢--
81,400+1999000.1%0¢--
81,200+1999000.1%0¢--
80,800+1999000.1%0¢--
80,600+1999000.1%0¢--
80,400+1999000.1%0¢--
80,200+1999000.1%0¢--
80,000+1999000.1%0¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

5m series
-1990099.5%100¢
Closes Aug 28

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

5m series
+199000.5%1¢
Closes Aug 28

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$2k
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?+54515.5%16¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

15m series
-656798.5%99¢
Closes Aug 28

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

15m series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Aug 28

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

5m series
+199000.5%1¢
Closes Aug 28

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

15m series
+199000.5%1¢
Closes Aug 28

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

15m series
-1656799.4%99¢
Closes Aug 28

Bitcoin price on September 1?

Price target · Closes Sep 1
Weekly series
78,000-80,000THIN+18635.0%35¢+13.0
86,000-88,000THIN+22530.8%31¢+27.4
84,000-86,000THIN+22630.7%31¢+24.8
80,000-82,000+33523.0%23¢+4.5
82,000-84,000+61414.0%14¢+2.5
Show 6 more
76,000-78,000THIN+90010.0%10¢-9.0
74,000-76,000THIN+13297.0%7¢-6.0
>88,000+27573.5%4¢+0.9
72,000-74,000+37462.6%3¢-3.4
70,000-72,000+47782.1%2¢-0.5
<70,000+82331.2%1¢-0.9

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

5m series
+1999000.1%0¢-50.5
Closes Aug 27

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

5m series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Aug 28

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

15m series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Aug 28

Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$581
December 31, 2026THIN+23130.3%30¢--

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$568 · 5 outcomes
↓ 30+70012.5%13¢+0.5
Showing 51–69 of 69 eventsVolume-sorted · order-book prices, no vig
The exchange

About Polymarket

What Polymarket is

A peer-to-peer prediction market, not a sportsbook. Every market is a YES/NO contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price is a probability: 15¢ means the market puts a 15% chance on that outcome.

Order-book pricing vs bookmaker vig

A sportsbook builds margin into both sides of a line. On an order book the price is the last trade between two traders, with no vig. The honest cost is the bid-ask spread, which is why thin markets are flagged here.

Fees

No per-trade fee on standard markets. The real cost of entering and exiting is the spread, so tight markets are cheap to trade and thin ones are not. Contracts settle in USDC.

Regulatory status

US access runs through a CFTC-regulated exchange following Polymarket's 2025 acquisition of a licensed venue. Availability varies by state. It is an exchange, not a book: you trade against other users, not the house.

What the numbers mean

Volume is dollars traded in a market. Where a venue counts contracts rather than dollars, the figure is converted at that market's own price so the column compares like with like; hover it for the raw count. The 24h column is the change in probability over the last day, in percentage points, measured against each venue's own price a day earlier; a market with no price that old shows no move rather than a flat one. Boards are volume-sorted so the marquee markets lead.