predictionmarkets+ Crypto Prediction Markets & Live Odds

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Implied probabilities from Polymarket prediction markets. Order-book prices carry no vig; the price is the probability. Updates automatically as the market moves. Last updated
Today at a glance
Biggest 24h moveBitcoin price on October 25? · 80,000-82,000+29.0 ptsnow-18264.5%65¢
Most volumeWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 10,000$913k+249000.4%0¢
Tightest marketWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 10,0000¢ spread+249000.4%0¢
Polymarket
Odds
Polymarket: Live
Feed freshnessAll fresh
Polymarket
stale = no write in 15+ minrefreshed every sync

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$10k
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?+65671.5%2¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

4h series
-516398.1%98¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

5m series
-1990099.5%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7PM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

4h series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?

Price target · Closes Nov 1
$7k · 9 outcomes
↑ 50THIN+50616.5%17¢+1.5
↑ 45THIN+50616.5%17¢+4.5
↑ 55+64113.5%14¢+0.5
↑ 70+13297.0%7¢--
↑ 60+15676.0%6¢-8.0
Show 3 more
↓ 35+36742.7%3¢+0.1
↓ 30+94241.1%1¢--
↓ 25+152850.7%1¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10PM ET

Hourly series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

4h series
+180820.5%1¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

4h series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

4h series
+29303.3%3¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

5m series
-1990099.5%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

15m series
-64186.5%87¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4PM ET

Hourly series
-679798.6%99¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin above ___ on October 29?

Price target · Closes Oct 29
Weekly series
72,000-942499.0%99¢--
74,000-477898.0%98¢--
76,000-168694.4%94¢--
78,000-73388.0%88¢--
80,000-22369.0%69¢--
Show 6 more
82,000+13343.0%43¢--
84,000+41319.5%20¢--
86,000+14386.5%7¢--
88,000+36742.7%3¢--
90,000+79001.3%1¢--
92,000+124000.8%1¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

5m series
-1990099.5%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

15m series
-1990099.5%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

5m series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2028
$4k
December 31, 2027+80911.0%11¢+0.5
December 31, 2026+165670.6%1¢--

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$4k
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?+36742.7%3¢-0.3

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

5m series
+199000.5%1¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin price on October 27?

Price target · Closes Oct 27
Weekly series
80,000-82,000+17037.0%37¢+10.0
82,000-84,000+25728.0%28¢+3.0
78,000-80,000+46817.6%18¢+0.5
84,000-86,000+10119.0%9¢-5.0
76,000-78,000+24643.9%4¢-2.2
Show 6 more
86,000-88,000+51631.9%2¢-3.6
>92,000+56141.8%2¢+0.7
74,000-76,000+61501.6%2¢-0.8
88,000-90,000+85961.2%1¢-0.8
90,000-92,000+89911.1%1¢-0.2
<74,000+116650.9%1¢-0.1

Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$3k
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?THIN+27226.9%27¢+6.2

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

5m series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

When will the Bitcoin halving occur?

Other · Closes Jul 1, 2028
$3k
June 30, 2028-859698.9%99¢+1.0
March 31, 2028THIN-15661.0%61¢+12.5

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

5m series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin price on October 26?

Price target · Closes Oct 26
Weekly series
80,000-82,000+12045.5%46¢+15.5
82,000-84,000+22331.0%31¢+3.0
78,000-80,000+52316.1%16¢-0.4
84,000-86,000+17185.5%6¢-8.0
76,000-78,000+44452.2%2¢-2.6
Show 6 more
86,000-88,000+110110.9%1¢-3.1
72,000-74,000+180820.5%1¢-0.1
74,000-76,000+180820.5%1¢-1.0
88,000-90,000+180820.5%1¢-0.9
>90,000+180820.5%1¢--
<72,000+199000.5%1¢-0.9

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$2k
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?+56715.0%15¢-0.5

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

4h series
-40080.0%80¢
Closes Oct 24

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

15m series
+1999000.1%0¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin above ___ on October 23, 11AM ET?

Price target · Closes Oct 23
Resolved
81,600-199900100.0%100¢--
81,400-199900100.0%100¢--
81,200-199900100.0%100¢--
81,000-199900100.0%100¢--
80,800-199900100.0%100¢--
Show 15 more
80,600-199900100.0%100¢--
80,400-199900100.0%100¢--
80,200-199900100.0%100¢--
80,000-199900100.0%100¢--
79,800-199900100.0%100¢--
83,800+1999000.1%0¢--
83,600+1999000.1%0¢--
83,400+1999000.1%0¢--
83,200+1999000.1%0¢--
83,000+1999000.1%0¢--
82,800+1999000.1%0¢--
82,600+1999000.1%0¢--
82,400+1999000.1%0¢--
82,200+1999000.1%0¢--
82,000+1999000.1%0¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

15m series
-199900100.0%100¢
Closes Oct 23

Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?

Price target · Closes Oct 30
Weekly series
72,000-502898.1%98¢--
74,000-317997.0%97¢--
76,000-143893.5%94¢--
78,000-56785.0%85¢--
80,000-20367.0%67¢--
Show 6 more
82,000+13043.5%44¢--
84,000+35522.0%22¢--
86,000+9539.5%10¢--
88,000+24324.0%4¢--
90,000+51631.9%2¢--
92,000+94241.1%1¢--

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

15m series
-1990099.5%100¢
Closes Oct 23

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

Price target · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$658 · 5 outcomes
↓ 30+73312.0%12¢--

Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?

Other · Closes Jan 1, 2027
$588
December 31, 2026THIN+27726.5%27¢+0.1
Showing 51–85 of 85 eventsVolume-sorted · order-book prices, no vig

What Are Crypto Prediction Markets?

Crypto prediction markets price whether a token hits a target price, whether a regulatory filing gets approved, and when a network or product actually ships. These contracts move on exchange price action, on-chain activity and regulatory headlines rather than on a fixed game or election schedule.

The exchange

About Polymarket

What Polymarket is

A peer-to-peer prediction market, not a sportsbook. Every market is a YES/NO contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price is a probability: 15¢ means the market puts a 15% chance on that outcome.

Order-book pricing vs bookmaker vig

A sportsbook builds margin into both sides of a line. On an order book the price is the last trade between two traders, with no vig. The honest cost is the bid-ask spread, which is why thin markets are flagged here.

Fees

No per-trade fee on standard markets. The real cost of entering and exiting is the spread, so tight markets are cheap to trade and thin ones are not. Contracts settle in USDC.

Regulatory status

US access runs through a CFTC-regulated exchange following Polymarket's 2025 acquisition of a licensed venue. Availability varies by state. It is an exchange, not a book: you trade against other users, not the house.

What the numbers mean

Volume is dollars traded in a market. Where a venue counts contracts rather than dollars, the figure is converted at that market's own price so the column compares like with like; hover it for the raw count. The 24h column is the change in probability over the last day, in percentage points, measured against each venue's own price a day earlier; a market with no price that old shows no move rather than a flat one. Boards are volume-sorted so the marquee markets lead.

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