Projections come from our NBA model (minutes, per-minute fantasy rate, and each stat line), with a per-minute fallback when a player has no projection line yet. Updated multiple times daily as injury reports and lineup news develop. Updated
Projections come from our NBA model (minutes, per-minute fantasy rate, and each stat line), with a per-minute fallback when a player has no projection line yet. Updated multiple times daily as injury reports and lineup news develop. Updated
Projections come from our NBA model and update as news breaks. Prop lines are the best available across books. +/- is our projection minus the line. 68 players shown.
What Are Daily NBA Projections?
Daily NBA Projections come from our NBA projections model: projected minutes, a per-minute fantasy rate, and each stat line (points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, and threes) for every player in today's games. When a player has no projection line yet, the page falls back to a per-minute method instead: season averages for points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, turnovers, three-pointers, two-pointers, and free throws per minute are multiplied by projected minutes, with a pace factor for matchup tempo (clamped to plus or minus 5%) and defensive boosts for how many more or fewer stats the opposing defense allows (also clamped to plus or minus 5%), and our own Boost multiplier that captures lineup changes, injury news, and usage shifts. Projection lines already include our own adjustments, so the Boost multiplier applies only to the per-minute fallback method, not to a projection line. DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy points come from our own projection model for each site, not a formula applied to the stats shown here. Underdog fantasy points use FanDuel's number, since the two sites score the same way. Projections are updated multiple times daily as injury reports and lineup news develop. Salary and FP per $1,000 of salary come from the selected site's classic slate and update as DraftKings and FanDuel publish pricing.