2026 Fantasy Football & NFL Preview

210 pages · 40,000+ words · 10,000+ data points · 1,000+ ranks · 340+ players · 35+ metrics. No BS.

Created by
Kevin Adams
@MagicSportsGuy
Team write-ups by
Mark Garcia
@HilowFF
Model engineering
Steven Patton
@PattonAnalytics

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Rankings & ADPDraftKings
Our top 250 on Underdog and DraftKings, with the +/- showing exactly where we're off the market. Compiled and updated by @MagicSportsGuy (BBM top-20 finisher) & @SC_FFB (top-1% advance rate across 450+ BBM teams).
2026 Projections
Built from the game down: team volume and efficiency first, then every player's share of it, layered with ARBY, xFP and our coverage data. Engineered by @PattonAnalytics, reviewed and adjusted player-by-player by Sam & Kevin.
Advanced analytics
Pass Rate Over Expectation (PROE) & PROE+, Defensive Pressure Rate Over Expected, EPA, formation splits, target distribution, Adjusted Run Blocking Yards (ARBY), and our proprietary xFP model: leaders and the +/- between actual and expected points.
Hilow's Best Ball Takes
In-depth team-by-team Best Ball analysis from one of the industry's sharpest minds, Mark Garcia (@HilowFF), current lead DFS Analyst & Game Theory expert at @OneWeekSeason.
What's insideEverything in the guide
01 — Team profile

2025 stats and tendencies, with the year-over-year read

Personnel rates, plays per game, EPA per play, defensive fantasy points per touch allowed, and pressure over expected, each ranked league-wide, plus 2025 ATS and over/under trends on every team page.

PROE+Pace11/12 personnelEPA/playPressure over expected
02 — Fantasy

Projections, positional ranks and Underdog ADP

Every relevant player's half-PPR projection, our positional rank, and Underdog ADP side by side, with a +/- column showing exactly where we differ from the market.

Underdog ADP.5 PPR projections+/- vs marketOverall ranks
03 — Strength of schedule

Full-season SoS, split by pass and rush

Every team's fantasy strength of schedule ranked 1–32 for pass and rush defense faced — plus the full 18-week slate on each team page. Lower rank means a tougher matchup.

Pass SoSRush SoSFull 18-week scheduleAll 32 ranked
04 — Line play

Offensive line rankings and 8 new pressure metrics

Every line ranked for 2026, backed by the new team pressure suite — pressures and pressures allowed, expected pressures, pressure rate over expected, and adjusted run-block yards (ARBY).

OL RanksO-Pressure %Pressure over expAdj. run block yds
05 — Betting

The bettor's prep: props, trends and awards markets

Season-long player props across multiple sportsbooks, awards markets, implied points and win totals, and 2025 ATS and over/under trends. Preparation, never picks.

Season propsMulti-book linesAwards markets2025 ATS & O/U trends
All 32 teams

Every franchise, covered

No filler, no skipped rosters -- every team gets the full treatment.

Arizona Cardinals

Trey McBride's record season meets a new OC and 3rd-overall rookie Jeremiyah Love.

Atlanta Falcons

New OC Kevin Stefanski inherits a full QB competition between Tua and Penix.

Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers' YPRR has risen every year, ranking 4th among qualified WRs in 2025.

Buffalo Bills

DJ Moore joins via trade, but Shakir stays locked into a crowded slot rotation.

Carolina Panthers

Both starting tackles are banged up, and TE is wide open after Evans' injury.

Chicago Bears

Rookie Loveland closed as a top-5 receiver in FP per route over the final 5 weeks.

Cincinnati Bengals

A leaky defense again forces the pass-heavy game script that fuels this passing offense.

Cleveland Browns

A year-one rebuild meets a real Shedeur Sanders vs. Watson QB battle.

Dallas Cowboys

4th-easiest pass schedule, two alpha WRs -- business as usual for Dak's offense.

Denver Broncos

Bo Nix is fully cleared off a fractured ankle, already running first-team reps.

Detroit Lions

Montgomery's exit ends the RB timeshare -- Gibbs is now our 1.01 overall.

Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson ranked 3rd in FP/route vs. man coverage before Doubs and Wicks left.

Houston Texans

Stroud's pressure splits explain the O-line spend; Montgomery gets a clean backfield.

Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones is back healthy, but Pittman's exit opens targets for Warren and Downs.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Only the Patriots improved their scoring more -- Lawrence enters year two with Coen.

Kansas City Chiefs

Mahomes is fully cleared off the ACL, already running 11-on-11s with no limits.

Los Angeles Chargers

A healthy Slater and Alt up front make this a consensus-buy offense again.

Los Angeles Rams

McVay's offense projects for the league's highest points per game at 26.7.

Las Vegas Raiders

Kubiak's arrival and a healthy Linderbaum reshape the Raiders' O-line.

Miami Dolphins

A #31 win total and a thin WR room put Miami's run-first plan under pressure.

Minnesota Vikings

The backfield leans Mason on early downs, with Jones taking passing-down work.

New England Patriots

A.J. Brown arrives via trade from Philly, now catching from Drake Maye instead of Hurts.

New Orleans Saints

Tyson starts opposite Olave immediately; Etienne is the new lead back over Kamara.

New York Giants

Nabers is back off a second ACL procedure -- the field may be pricing him too low.

New York Jets

Garrett Wilson returns as a league-leading target earner, now with two rookie weapons.

Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon looks like an ADP value once more with a healthy, top-ranked O-line.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Expect a shift to 3-WR sets after last year's league-low 11-personnel usage.

Seattle Seahawks

The champs let Kenneth Walker walk; Charbonnet's ACL timeline is one to watch.

San Francisco 49ers

Ricky Pearsall's ascending role is in question again after new knee swelling.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Vea requested a trade as extension talks stalled; Irving returns at full go.

Tennessee Titans

A new staff (Saleh, Daboll) arrives to unleash Cam Ward after a cautious rookie year.

Washington Commanders

Daniels is fully healthy in year three, and McLaurin returns from an injury-wrecked '25.

Meet the team
Kevin Adams
Created by

Kevin Adams

@MagicSportsGuy

Founder of statrankings and the analyst behind the guide: the stat engine, the rankings, and every team page. A BBM top-20 finisher whose advanced-analytics work has been picked up by PFF and others across the industry.

Mark Garcia
Team write-ups by

Mark Garcia

@HilowFF

Lead DFS Analyst and Game Theory expert at @OneWeekSeason, and one of the industry's sharpest Best Ball minds. He writes the team-by-team Best Ball take on all 32 teams.

Steven Patton
Model engineering

Steven Patton

@PattonAnalytics

Get the 2026 Guide free

210 pages, all 32 teams, the full stat engine, our projection model and Hilow's Best Ball takes. No card required.