PolymarketPolymarket: Live
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Presidential Election Winner 2028
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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
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Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
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Brazil Presidential Election
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Next French Presidential Election
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Venezuela leader end of 2026?
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Fed Decision in September?
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
California Governor Election Winner
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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Iran leader end of 2026?
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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Trump out as President before 2027?
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Iran leadership change by...?
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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
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How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
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Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
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About Polymarket
What Polymarket is
A peer-to-peer prediction market, not a sportsbook. Every market is a YES/NO contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price is a probability: 15¢ means the market puts a 15% chance on that outcome.
Order-book pricing vs bookmaker vig
A sportsbook builds margin into both sides of a line. On an order book the price is the last trade between two traders, with no vig. The honest cost is the bid-ask spread, which is why thin markets are flagged here.
Fees
No per-trade fee on standard markets. The real cost of entering and exiting is the spread, so tight markets are cheap to trade and thin ones are not. Contracts settle in USDC.
Regulatory status
US access runs through a CFTC-regulated exchange following Polymarket's 2025 acquisition of a licensed venue. Availability varies by state. It is an exchange, not a book: you trade against other users, not the house.
What the numbers mean
Volume is dollars traded in a market. Where a venue counts contracts rather than dollars, the figure is converted at that market's own price so the column compares like with like; hover it for the raw count. The 24h column is the change in probability over the last day, in percentage points, measured against each venue's own price a day earlier; a market with no price that old shows no move rather than a flat one. Boards are volume-sorted so the marquee markets lead.