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Implied probabilities from Polymarket prediction markets. Order-book prices carry no vig; the price is the probability. Updates automatically as the market moves. Last updated 08/28/26
Today at a glance
Biggest book gapLos Angeles Chargers to win-8.5 ptsPolymarket-14158.5%59¢Book-20367.0%67¢
Tightest marketLas Vegas Raiders to win1¢ spread$1.3M
Biggest moveLas Vegas Raiders to win-57.0 ptsnow+27573.5%
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Polymarket
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stale = no write in 30+ minrefreshed every sync
Prediction MarketsBetting Exchanges
MatchupMarketBest Pricelast tradelast tradelast tradelast tradelast tradede-vig · Pinnacle-anchored
MIA
LV
Sun 4:25 PM
NFL
Las Vegas Raidersto win
$121-17063.0%63¢-17063.0%63¢-17864.0%64¢-18264.5%65¢---19666.2%66¢-1.0-1.5
MIA
LV
Sun 4:25 PM
NFL
Miami Dolphinsto win
$121+17037.0%37¢+17037.0%37¢+17037.0%37¢+16338.0%38¢--+17037.0%37¢+1.0+1.5
GB
NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM
NFL
GB Packersto win
$111-21768.5%68¢-21768.5%68¢-23370.0%70¢---------1.5
GB
NYJ
Sun 1:00 PM
NFL
NY Jetsto win
$111+21731.5%32¢+21731.5%32¢+18635.0%35¢--------+1.5
HOU
CAR
Fri 7:00 PM
NFL
Carolina Panthersto win
$105+10249.5%50¢+10249.5%50¢-10050.0%50¢+10050.0%50¢---10150.2%50¢-0.9--
HOU
CAR
Fri 7:00 PM
NFL
Houston Texansto win
$105-10250.5%50¢-10250.5%50¢-10851.9%52¢-10451.0%51¢---10350.7%51¢+0.9--
MIA
SF
Sun 4:25 PM
THINNFL
MIA Dolphinsto win
$85+47117.5%18¢+47117.5%18¢+45618.0%18¢------11¢--+1.5
MIA
SF
Sun 4:25 PM
THINNFL
SF 49ersto win
$85-47182.5%82¢-47182.5%82¢-56785.0%85¢------11¢---1.5
CIN
PHI
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Cincinnati Bengalsto win
$36+13542.6%43¢+13542.6%43¢+13342.9%43¢+13342.9%43¢--+13243.1%43¢-0.1--
CIN
PHI
Fri 8:00 PM
NFL
Philadelphia Eaglesto win
$36-13557.4%57¢-13557.4%57¢-13858.0%58¢-13858.0%58¢---14058.3%58¢+0.1--
TB
JAX
Fri 7:30 PM
NFL
Jacksonville Jaguarsto win
$30+14441.0%41¢+14141.5%41¢+14441.0%41¢+13842.0%42¢--+13842.0%42¢+0.3--
TB
JAX
Fri 7:30 PM
NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneersto win
$30-14158.5%59¢-14158.5%59¢-15060.0%60¢-15060.0%60¢---14859.7%60¢-0.3--
NYG
NYJ
Fri 7:30 PM
NFL
New York Giantsto win
$28+11746.1%46¢-14759.5%60¢+11746.1%46¢-15660.9%61¢---15861.2%61¢-0.2--
NYG
NYJ
Fri 7:30 PM
NFL
New York Jetsto win
$28+15239.7%40¢+14740.5%40¢+15040.0%40¢+14740.5%40¢--+15239.7%40¢+0.2--
ATL
PIT
Sun 1:00 PM
NFL
Atlanta Falconsto win
$27+15639.1%39¢+15639.1%39¢+15639.1%39¢+15040.0%40¢--+15639.1%39¢+0.3-0.5
ATL
PIT
Sun 1:00 PM
NFL
Pittsburgh Steelersto win
$27-15660.9%61¢-15660.9%61¢-16362.0%62¢-17063.0%63¢---17263.2%63¢-0.3+0.5
WAS
PHI
Sun 4:25 PM
NFL
Philadelphia Eaglesto win
$24-20367.0%67¢-20367.0%67¢-20367.0%67¢-21768.5%68¢---23570.1%70¢-0.2--
WAS
PHI
Sun 4:25 PM
NFL
Washington Commandersto win
$24+21232.1%32¢+20333.0%33¢+21232.1%32¢+20832.5%32¢--+19434.0%34¢+0.2--
PIT
CLE
Thu 8:15 PM
THINNFL
CLE Brownsto win
$12--+12544.4%44¢--------13¢---3.5
PIT
CLE
Thu 8:15 PM
THINNFL
PIT Steelersto win
$12---12555.6%56¢--------13¢--+3.5
NO
BAL
Sun 1:00 PM
NFL
BAL Ravensto win
$6-32676.5%77¢-32676.5%77¢-33577.0%77¢----------
NO
BAL
Sun 1:00 PM
NFL
NO Saintsto win
$6+32623.5%23¢+32623.5%23¢+27027.0%27¢----------
DAL
NYG
Sun 8:20 PM
NFL
Dallas Cowboysto win
$5-14158.5%59¢-14158.5%59¢-14459.0%59¢-15060.0%60¢---15260.3%60¢-0.7-0.5
DAL
NYG
Sun 8:20 PM
NFL
New York Giantsto win
$5+14141.5%41¢+14141.5%41¢+13842.0%42¢+14141.5%41¢--+14041.7%42¢+0.7+0.5
ATL
GB
Thu 8:15 PM
THINNFL
ATL Falconsto win
$4--+25728.0%28¢--------32¢---2.5
ATL
GB
Thu 8:15 PM
THINNFL
GB Packersto win
$4---25772.0%72¢--------32¢--+2.5
SEA
ARI
Sun 4:25 PM
THINNFL
ARI Cardinalsto win
--+44118.5%18¢+44118.5%18¢+42619.0%19¢------11¢---1.0
ARI
SF
Sun 4:05 PM
THINNFL
ARI Cardinalsto win
----+54515.5%16¢--------21¢---2.5
ARI
NYG
Sun 1:00 PM
THINNFL
ARI Cardinalsto win
----+29225.5%26¢--------25¢---7.0
CAR
ATL
Sun 1:00 PM
THINNFL
ATL Falconsto win
---11353.1%53¢-11353.1%53¢-12255.0%55¢------12¢----
ATL
NO
Mon 8:15 PM
THINNFL
ATL Falconsto win
----+11147.4%47¢--------45¢----
Abilene Christian
Lamar
Sat 7:01 PM
CFB
Abilene Christianto win
---23370.0%70¢---23370.0%70¢-27073.0%73¢----------
Duquesne
AF
Sat 1:00 PM
CFB
Air Forceto win
-------240096.0%96¢------------
Akron
WAKE
Thu 7:00 PM
CFB
Akronto win
--+15676.0%--+15676.0%+12337.5%-------2.4--
ECU
ALA
Sat 12:00 PM
CFB
Alabamato win
---240096.0%96¢---240096.0%96¢-578298.3%98¢----------
ALA
UK
Sat 3:30 PM
CFB
Alabamato win
-------90090.0%90¢------------
Alabama A&M
Howard
Sat 7:31 PM
CFB
Alabama A&Mto win
--+11346.9%47¢--+11346.9%47¢+10449.0%49¢----------
Southern
Alabama State
Sat 3:01 PM
CFB
Alabama Stateto win
---------107691.5%91¢----------
New Hampshire
Albany
Fri 7:01 PM
CFB
Albanyto win
------+42619.0%19¢------------
Albany
BUF
Thu 7:00 PM
CFB
Albanyto win
------+19005.0%------------
Albany State Golden Rams
Florida A&M
Sat 7:00 PM
CFB
Albany State Golden Ramsto win
------+16338.0%38¢------------
Alcorn State
USM
Sat 5:00 PM
CFB
Alcorn Stateto win
--------------------
Maine
APP
Sat 3:30 PM
CFB
Appalachian Stateto win
--------------------
Northern Arizona
ARIZ
Sat 9:30 PM
CFB
Arizonato win
-------240096.0%96¢------------
ARIZ
BYU
Sat 3:30 PM
CFB
Arizonato win
------+15040.0%40¢------------
ASU
TAMU
Sat 12:00 PM
CFB
Arizona Stateto win
--------------------
North Alabama
ARK
Sat 4:15 PM
CFB
Arkansasto win
-------240096.0%96¢------------
ARK
UTAH
Sat 10:15 PM
CFB
Arkansasto win
------+16338.0%38¢------------
Arkansas Pine Bluff
MIZ
Thu 8:00 PM
CFB
Arkansas Pine Bluffto win
------+15676.0%------------
ARST
MEM
Sat 7:00 PM
CFB
Arkansas Stateto win
--------+25728.0%28¢----------
Showing 51–100 of 488 markets · sorted by volume, highest firstBest price per side highlighted · de-vigged comparison on this view
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A peer-to-peer prediction market, not a sportsbook. Every market is a YES/NO contract that settles at $1 or $0, and the price is a probability: 15¢ means the market puts a 15% chance on that outcome.

Order-book pricing vs bookmaker vig

A sportsbook builds margin into both sides of a line. On an order book the price is the last trade between two traders, with no vig. The honest cost is the bid-ask spread, which is why thin markets are flagged here.

Fees

No per-trade fee on standard markets. The real cost of entering and exiting is the spread, so tight markets are cheap to trade and thin ones are not. Contracts settle in USDC.

Regulatory status

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What the numbers mean

Volume is dollars traded in a market. Where a venue counts contracts rather than dollars, the figure is converted at that market's own price so the column compares like with like; hover it for the raw count. The 24h column is the change in probability over the last day, in percentage points, measured against each venue's own price a day earlier; a market with no price that old shows no move rather than a flat one. Boards are volume-sorted so the marquee markets lead.