Expected Pass Rate | College Football Advanced Team Stats

	Team
1		59.7%
2		58.7%
3		56.3%
3		56.3%
5		55.2%
6		54.5%
6		54.5%
8		54.3%
8		54.3%
8		54.3%
11		54.0%
12		53.9%
13		53.7%
13		53.7%
15		53.6%
16		53.3%
17		53.0%
18		52.9%
18		52.9%
20		52.4%
20		52.4%
22		52.2%
23		52.1%
23		52.1%
23		52.1%
23		52.1%
27		52.0%
28		51.9%
29		51.8%
29		51.8%
29		51.8%
29		51.8%
33		51.7%
34		51.6%
34		51.6%
36		51.5%
36		51.5%
36		51.5%
39		51.3%
40		51.2%
41		51.1%
41		51.1%
43		51.0%
44		50.9%
45		50.8%
46		50.6%
46		50.6%
46		50.6%
49		50.5%
50		50.3%
50		50.3%
50		50.3%
53		50.2%
54		50.1%
54		50.1%
54		50.1%
57		50.0%
58		49.9%
58		49.9%
58		49.9%
61		49.7%
62		49.5%
63	$Texas$	49.4%
64		49.2%
64		49.2%
66		49.1%
66		49.1%
68		48.9%
68		48.9%
70		48.8%
70		48.8%
72		48.7%
72		48.7%
74		48.5%
75		48.3%
76		48.2%
76		48.2%
76		48.2%
79		48.0%
80		47.9%
81		47.8%
81		47.8%
81		47.8%
84		47.6%
85		47.5%
86		47.4%
86		47.4%
86		47.4%
86		47.4%
86		47.4%
91		47.3%
92		47.2%
93		46.9%
93		46.9%
95		46.8%
96		46.7%
97		46.6%
97		46.6%
97		46.6%
100		46.5%

What Is Expected Pass Rate?

Expected pass rate is the share of plays a model expects a team to pass on, based on down, distance, field position, score, clock and win probability. It is the baseline Pass Rate Over Expectation compares a team's actual pass rate against. Only games involving FBS teams count toward this leaderboard.

College Football Expected Pass Rate Leaders

What Is Expected Pass Rate?