| Player | Team | Position | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow |  | QB | 9.6 | 16.3 | 13.4 | 12.1 | - | 11.8 | 7.3 |
| 2 | Drake Maye |  | QB | 5.6 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | 4.1 | 6.5 |
| 3 | Geno Smith |  | QB | 4.8 | 8.9 | 7.5 | 1.8 | - | 2.6 | 7.6 |
| 4 | Caleb Williams |  | QB | 4.4 | 4.5 | 6.0 | - | - | -2.7 | 8.5 |
| 5 | Brock Purdy |  | QB | 4.2 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | - | 4.9 | 3.4 |
Joe Burrow of Cincinnati is the 2026 NFL leader in completion percentage over expectation at 9.6, through games played November 3, 2026. Second is Drake Maye of New England at 5.6, then Geno Smith of the New York Jets third at 4.8, Caleb Williams of Chicago fourth at 4.4 & Brock Purdy of San Francisco fifth at 4.2. Burrow's CPOE rate puts him 4.0 percentage points clear of second place & 13.1 ahead of the 25th-ranked player.
Only 7.5 percentage points separate first from tenth. Sixth is Trevor Lawrence of Jacksonville at 3.6, then Jared Goff of Detroit seventh at 2.7, Tyler Huntley of Baltimore eighth at 2.6, Josh Allen of Buffalo ninth at 2.4 & Jayden Daniels of Washington tenth at 2.1.
A gap of 1.3 percentage points separates 21st from 22nd, the widest single step anywhere below the top four. C.J. Stroud of Houston is 11th at 2.0, then Dak Prescott of Dallas 12th at 1.6, Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams 13th at 1.1, Tyler Shough of New Orleans 14th at 1.0, Kirk Cousins of Las Vegas 15th at 0.7, Deshaun Watson of Cleveland 16th at 0.6, Kyler Murray of Minnesota 17th at 0.4 & Baker Mayfield of Tampa Bay 18th at 0.3.
Eight players sit inside 1.3 percentage points of each other from 13th to 20th, the tightest stretch of the ranking. Jacoby Brissett of Arizona is 19th at 0.2, then Patrick Mahomes of Kansas City 20th at -0.2, Jordan Love of Green Bay 21st at -1.2, Cam Ward of Tennessee 22nd at -2.5, Sam Darnold of Seattle 23rd at -3.3, Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers 24th at -3.5 & Aaron Rodgers of Pittsburgh 25th at -3.5.
These 25 are drawn from 34 NFL players ranked in the 2026 regular season. A minimum of 118 dropbacks is applied. Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE) measures the difference, in percentage points, between a quarterback's actual completion percentage and the completion percentage expected given each throw's difficulty. CPOE figures are as of November 3, 2026 & are recalculated on StatRankings after each game's play-by-play is processed.
